临床外科杂志 ›› 2026, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (5): 556-561.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-6483.20250491

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

不同肿瘤标志物联合模型评估结直肠癌手术转归的效能比较

  

  1. 056001   河北邯郸,邯郸市第一医院胃肠外一科 (贡红飞) ;邯郸市峰峰矿区疾病预防控制中心慢病科(马芳芳);邯郸市中心医院全科医学科(李燕平)
  • 收稿日期:2025-05-12 修回日期:2025-05-12 出版日期:2026-05-20 发布日期:2026-05-20
  • 基金资助:
    邯郸市科学技术研究与发展计划项目(23422083243)

Comparison of the efficacy of different combination models of tumor markers in the evaluation of the outcome of colorectal cancer surgery

  1. Department of Gastroenterology,the First Hospital of Handan City,Hebei,Handan 056001,China
  • Received:2025-05-12 Revised:2025-05-12 Online:2026-05-20 Published:2026-05-20

摘要: 目的 探讨不同肿瘤标志物独立、联合模型对结直肠癌术后转归的评估效能。方法 本研究为前瞻性观察性研究。2021年1月~2023年2月接受根治性切除术的结直肠癌病人197例。根据术后2年内临床转归分为临床转归良好组和临床转归不良组。比较两组病人间临床特征、治疗特征和术前肿瘤标志物的差异。通过多因素Logistic回归分析筛选与结直肠癌病人根治术后转归不良相关的独立影响因素。通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线及曲线下面积(AUC)评估不同肿瘤标志物独立及联合预测结直肠癌病人根治术后转归不良的效能并进行对比。结果 本研究最终选取完成至少2年随访的结直肠癌根治术后病人197例,转归不良65(33.0%)例。转归不良组病人年龄、肿瘤长径、临床Ⅲ期占比、低分化占比、手术时间、手术切缘阳性占比、术前癌胚抗原(CEA)、糖类抗原(CA)199、CA242、CA724、人附睾蛋白4(HE4)、循环肿瘤细胞(CTC)计数及循环肿瘤DNA(ctDNA)阳性占比均高于转归良好组病人,腺癌占比低于转归良好组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析表明CEA、CA199、CA242、CA724、HE4、CTC计数、ctDNA阳性均是结直肠癌病人根治性切除术后死亡的危险因素(P<0.05)。Delong检验提示,CEA、CA199、CA242、CA724、HE4、CTC计数、ctDNA阳性联合预测的AUC=0.819(95%CI: 0.718~0.861),高于各肿瘤标志物独立预测价值(Z=3.976、3.856、3.601、3.663、3.525、3.850、3.847,P均<0.05),此时联合预测的敏感性为0.823,特异性为0.782。结论 结直肠癌病人根治术前CEA、CA199、CA242、CA724、HE4、CTC计数、ctDNA阳性均为术后转归不良的危险因素,上述肿瘤标志物联合应用的预测效能较高。

关键词: 结直肠癌, 根治术, 临床转归, 肿瘤标志物

Abstract: Objective To analyze and compare the evaluation efficacy of different tumor markers independently and in combination for the outcome of colorectal cancer surgery.Methods This study was a prospective observational study.197 cases of colorectal cancer patients who underwent radical resection in our hospital from January 2021 to February 2023 were selected as the research subjects.According to the clinical outcome within 2 year after surgery,the patients were divided into the group with good clinical outcome and the group with poor clinical outcome.The differences in clinical and disease characteristics,treatment characteristics,and preoperative tumor markers between the two groups of patients were compared.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen the independent influencing factors related to the poor outcome after radical resection of colorectal cancer patients.The efficacy of different tumor markers independently and in combination in predicting the poor outcome after radical resection of colorectal cancer patients was evaluated and compared through the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and the area under the curve (AUC).Results A total of 197 patients who had undergone radical resection of colorectal cancer and completed at least 2 year of follow-up were finally selected in this study.The age,long diameter of the tumor,proportion of clinical stage Ⅲ,proportion of poor differentiation,operation time,proportion of positive surgical margin,preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA),carbohydrate antigen 199 (CA199),carbohydrate antigen 242 (CA242),carbohydrate antigen 724 (CA724),human epididymis protein 4 (HE4),count of circulating tumor cells (CTC),and proportion of positive circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in the group with poor outcome were all higher than those in the group with good outcome,and the proportion of adenocarcinoma was lower than that in the group with good outcome (all P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that CEA ,CA199 ,CA242 ,CA724,HE4,CTC count and positive ctDNA  were all risk factors for death after radical resection of colorectal cancer patients (P<0.05).The DeLong test indicated that the area under the curve (AUC) for the combined prediction of CEA,CA199,CA242,CA724,HE4,CTC count,and positive ctDNA was 0.819 (95%CI: 0.718~0.861).This value was higher than the predictive values of each individual tumor marker (Z=3.976,3.856,3.601,3.663,3.525,3.850,3.847,all P<0.05),and at this time,the sensitivity of the combined prediction was 0.823 and the specificity was 0.782.Conclusion Positive CEA,CA199,CA242,CA724,HE4,CTC count,and ctDNA before radical resection of colorectal cancer patients are all risk factors for poor postoperative outcome,and the combined application of the above tumor markers has a higher predictive efficacy.

Key words: colorectal cancer, radical resection, clinical outcome, tumor markers

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