临床外科杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (8): 861-864.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-6483.20241434

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

术前Caprini模型评分联合中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值对老年股骨粗隆间骨折病人术后深静脉血栓的预测价值

  

  1. 235025  安徽淮北,安徽省淮北市人民医院骨科一病区
  • 收稿日期:2024-08-29 修回日期:2024-08-29 出版日期:2025-08-20 发布日期:2025-08-20

Prediction value of preoperative Caprini model score combined with NLR for postoperative deep vein thrombosis in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture of femur

  1. Department of Orthopedics First Ward,Huaibei People's Hospital,Anhui Province,Huaibei 235025,China
  • Received:2024-08-29 Revised:2024-08-29 Online:2025-08-20 Published:2025-08-20

摘要: 目的 探讨术前Caprini模型评分联合中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值(NLR)对老年股骨粗隆间骨折病人术后深静脉血栓(DVT)的预测价值。方法 前瞻性选取2022年11月~2024年5月手术治疗的老年股骨粗隆间骨折病人70例。依据术后住院期间是否并发DVT将入组病人分为发生组、未发生组,比较两组病人一般资料、手术相关指标,Logistic多因素回归分析法筛选影响病人术后DVT的危险因素,受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估术前Caprini模型评分联合NLR预测病人术后DVT的效能。结果 与未发生组比较,发生组术前Caprini模型评分、NLR、合并糖尿病率及D二聚体(D-D)、超敏C反应蛋白(hs-CRP)水平均较高(P<0.05),受伤入院时间较长(P<0.05),术中失血量较大(P<0.05),血小板衍生生长因子(PDGF)水平较低(P<0.05)。Logistic多因素回归分析显示,术前Caprini模型评分高(OR=2.044,95%CI:1.825~2.764),NLR高(OR=2.008,95%CI:1.840~2.696),合并糖尿病(OR=1.834,95%CI:1.726~2.463),受伤入院时间长(OR=1.828,95%CI:1.625~2.531),术中失血量大(OR=1.851,95%CI:1.682~2.421),D-D水平高(OR=1.910,95%CI:1.771~2.605),PDGF水平低(OR=1.934,95%CI:1.706~2.568)是影响老年股骨粗隆间骨折病人术后DVT的危险因素。绘制ROC曲线显示,术前Caprini模型评分联合NLR预测老年股骨粗隆间骨折病人术后DVT的灵敏度、AUC分别为90.50%、0.902,均高于术前Caprini模型评分(87.20%、0.869)、NLR(84.60、0.848)指标单独预测效能。结论 老年股骨粗隆间骨折术后并发DVT病人术前Caprini模型评分、NLR均较高,且术前Caprini模型评分联合NLR预测术后DVT的效能较高。

关键词: 股骨粗隆间骨折, 术后深静脉血栓, 术前Caprini模型评分, 中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值

Abstract: Objective To investigate the predictive value of Caprini model score combined with neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for deep vein thrombosis in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture.Methods A total of 70 elderly patients with intertrochanteric femoral fractures who received surgical treatment in the hospital from November 2022 to May 2024 were prospectively selected as the study subjects.The enrolled patients were divided into occurrence group and non-occurrence group according to whether DVT was complicated during postoperative hospitalization.,general data,surgery-related indexes were compared between the two groups,multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors affecting postoperative DVT.The efficacy of Caprini model score combined with NLR in predicting postoperative DVT was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC).Results Compared with the non-occurrence group,the Caprini model score,NLR,combined diabetes rate,Ddimer (D -D) and hypersensitive Creactive protein (hs-CRP) levels in the occurrence group were higher (P<0.05),the injury-hospital admission time was longer (P<0.05),the intraoperative blood loss was greater (P<0.05),and the platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF) was lower (P<0.05).Logistic multivariate regression analysis results show that Caprini model has high score (OR=2.044,95%CI:1.825~2.764),high NLR (OR=2.008,95%CI:1.840~2.696),combined with diabetes (OR=1.834,95%CI:1.726~2.463),long duration of injury-hospital admission (OR=1.828,95%CI:1.625~2.531),large intraoperative blood loss (OR=1.851,95%CI:1.682~2.421),high D-D level (OR=1.910,95%CI:1.771~2.605) and low PDGF level (OR=1.934,95%CI:1.706~2.568) were risk factors for deep vein thrombosis in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture.ROC curve results show that the sensitivity and AUC of Caprini model score combined with NLR in predicting postoperative deep vein thrombosis in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture are 90.50% and 0.902,respectively,these indexes are higher than Caprini model score (87.20%,0.869) and NLR (84.60%,0.848).Conclusion Both Caprini model score and NLR are higher in elderly patients with DVT after operation,and Caprini model score combined with NLR is more effective in predicting DVT after operation.

Key words: intertrochanteric fracture of femur, postoperative deep vein thrombosis, preoperative Caprini model score, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio

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