临床外科杂志 ›› 2020, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (9): 832-836.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-6483.2020.09.12

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非创伤性蛛网膜下腔出血病人住院病死相关危险因素分析

  

  1. 430071 武汉大学中南医院神经外科监护室(杨福刚、马超、徐成仕、李志强),肾病综合科(胡双、水华)
  • 出版日期:2020-09-20 发布日期:2020-09-20
  • 通讯作者: 李志强,Email:lizhiqiang@whu.edu.cn

Mortality and related risk factors of patients for non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage in hospital

  1. Department of Neurological ICU,Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University,Wuhan 430071,China
  • Online:2020-09-20 Published:2020-09-20

摘要: 目的 探讨神经外科重症监护室(neurosurgical intensive care unit,NICU)内非创伤性蛛网膜下腔出血(subarachnoid hemorrhage,SAH)病人住院病死的相关危险因素。
方法 回顾性分析在武汉大学中南医院NICU治疗的非创伤性SAH病人的临床资料。按治疗方式分为手术治疗组和非手术治疗组,采用二分类 Logistic 回归方程分析非创伤性SAH病人住院死亡的危险因素,绘制受试者工作特征曲线(ROC),并评估各危险因素的预测价值。
结果 纳入的356例NICU非创伤性SAH病人,手术组303例,非手术组53例。其中手术组死亡58例(19%),非手术组17例(32%)。共有83例发生了急性肾损伤(acute kidney injury,AKI),手术组发生AKI 69例(22.8%),非手术组14例(26.4%)。AKI为影响非创伤性SAH手术组病人预后最强的独立危险因素(OR=5.095,95%CI 2.261~11.483,P<0.001 )。其余危险因素包括高血糖、高APACHE Ⅱ评分(acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ);其中,APACHE Ⅱ评分是预测非创伤性SAH 手术组病人死亡的最佳预测因子(ROC曲线下面积最大为0.811,P<0.001),具有较好的准确性。
结论 AKI显著增加NICU内非创伤SAH病人的死亡率,入院时的APACHE Ⅱ评分是NICU非创伤性SAH手术病人死亡的最佳预测因子。

关键词: 蛛网膜下腔出血, 危险因素, 急性肾损伤, APACH Ⅱ评分

Abstract: Objective To analyze the risk factors for in-hospital death of patients for non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage in the Neurosurgical Intensive Care Unit(NICU).
Methods The clinical data of patients for non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in the Neurological Intensive Care Unit (NICU) of Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University were analyzed retrospectively.Divided into operation group and non operation group,The clinical characteristics of patients in two groups were compared.Logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors of the mortality of patients,and then the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to evaluate the predictive value of risk factors.
Results A total of 356 patients with non-traumatic SAH in NICU were included,including 303 patients in the surgical group and 53 patients in the non-surgical group.There were 58 deaths (19%) in the surgery group and 17 deaths (32%) in the non-surgery group.A total of 83 patients developed acute kidney injury,including 69 patients in the surgical group and 14 patients in the non-surgical group.Multi-logistic regression showed that AKI was the most powerful independent risk factors associated with the morality of surgical patients with non-traumatic  subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in NICU(OR=5.095,95%CI 2.261~11.483,P<0.001),other risk factors included hyperglycemia,high APACHE Ⅱscores.For predicting SAH mortality,APACHE Ⅱ scores displayed an excellent areas under the ROC curve (AUC=0.811,P<0.001).
Conclusion AKI significantly increases the hospital mortality,which is an important factor affecting the prognosis of non-traumatic  subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH)  surgical patients in NICU.The APACHE Ⅱ scores was the best predictor of mortality of patients.

Key words: subarachnoid hemorrhage, risk factors, acute kidney injury, APACHE Ⅱ scores

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