临床外科杂志 ›› 2019, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (5): 395-398.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-6483.2019.05.012

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

全身炎性反应与直肠癌术后生存率的相关分析

  

  1. 河北省承德医学院附属医院胃肠外科
  • 出版日期:2019-05-20 发布日期:2019-05-20

Correlation analysis between systemic inflammatory response and postoperative survival rate of rectal cancer

  • Online:2019-05-20 Published:2019-05-20

摘要: 目的:分析炎性反应预后评分(IPS)与直肠癌术后生存率的相关性。方法:直肠癌根治术术后病人678例,收集病人入院后第2天外周静脉血血常规、肝功能等资料,依次计算出炎性反应评分——NLR、DNLR、PLR、LMR、COPNLR及PNI等指标,依据IPS依次计算出各自得分。以5年生存时间作为终点绘制IPS的实验对象作指征(ROC)曲线,以此作为研究对象,术前IPS预测5年生存率的最佳截点,并依据该临界值将病人分为高IPS组和低IPS组,比较高低两组直肠癌术后病人在手术方式、肿瘤TNM分期、肿瘤大小及形态、侵及深度、肿瘤距肛缘的距离等指标的关系。然后采用COX比例风险回归模型对组成IPS的各因素进行单因素和多因素分析。结果:IPS诊断死亡危险事件的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(ROCAUX)为0.781,截点为2.5。根据2.5截点分为低IPS组、高IPS组。两组年龄分别为(59.1±11.9)岁、(59.5±9.8)岁。两组间TNM分期比较,差异有统计学意义。多因素COX风险回归模型显示男性、NLR、DNLR、COPNLR评分为危险因素,HR分别为1.489、4.027、2.208、2.188。LMR评分为保护性因素,HR为0.559。结论:IPS水平与直肠癌术后生存率相关,高IPS提示预后不良。

关键词: 直肠癌, 炎性反应细胞, 营养指数, 预后

Abstract: Objective:Correlation analysis of Inflammationbased prognostic scores(IPS)in survival rate after rectal cancer surgery.Methods:A retrospective cohort was used to analyze the patients who underwent radical resection of rectal cancer.A total of 678 patients were enrolled.Peripheral venous blood routine and liver function on the second day after admission,the inflammation scores  NLR,DNLR,PLR,LMR,COPNLR and PNI were calculated in turn,based on widely accepted inflammatory prognosis scores.(IPS),which calculates their respective scores in turn.The 5year survival time was used as the endpoint of the inflammatory prognostic score(IPS).The index of the index(ROC)was used as the cutoff point for predicting the 5year survival time of the preoperative inflammatory prognostic score(IPS).According to the threshold,the patients were divided into highinflammation prognostic score(IPS)group and lowinflammation prognosis score(IPS)group.The surgical methods,tumor TNM stage,tumor size and morphology,and invasion were compared between the two groups.And the relationship between the depth,the distance of the tumor from the anal margin,and other indicators.Then,the COX proportional hazard regression model was used to analyze the factors that constitute the inflammatory prognostic score(IPS)by univariate and multivariate analysis.Results:The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for IPS diagnosis of death risk events(ROCAUX)was 0.781 and the cutoff point was 2.5.According to the 2.5 intercept points,it is divided into low IPS group and high IPS group.The age of the two groups was(59.1±11.9)years and(59.5±9.8)years,respectively.There was a statistically significant difference in TNM staging between the two groups.The multivariate COX risk regression model showed male,NLR,DNLR and COPNLR score as risk factors,and HR were 1.489,4.027,2.208 and 2.188,respectively.The LMR score was a protective factor with an HR of 0.559.Conclusion:Preoperative inflammatory outcome score(IPS)is associated with postoperative survival in rectal cancer.High inflammatory prognostic score(IPS)suggests a poor prognosis.

Key words: rectal carcinoma, inflammatory cell, nutritional index, prognosis

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