临床外科杂志 ›› 2026, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (9): 1005-1010.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-6483.20260035

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

全麻胸腔镜肺癌根治术后麻醉恢复期并发低氧血症的相关因素及列线图模型建立

徐其蓉 陈荣婷 沈敏莉 葛经武   

  1. 210000 江苏南京,南京医科大学第一附属医院(江苏省人民医院)麻醉与围术期医学科
  • 收稿日期:2026-01-12 出版日期:2026-09-20 发布日期:2026-09-20
  • 通讯作者: 葛经武,Email:jsgjw2009@163.com

Related factors and establishment of nomogram model for hypoxemia during anesthesia recovery period after thoracoscopic radical resection of lung cancer under general anesthesia

XU Qirong,CHEN Rongting,SHEN Minli,GE Jingwu   

  1. Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University(Jiangsu Province Hospital
  • Received:2026-01-12 Online:2026-09-20 Published:2026-09-20

摘要: 目的 探讨全麻胸腔镜肺癌根治术后麻醉恢复期并发低氧血症的相关因素,并构建列线图预测模型。方法 2022年5月~2025年5月全麻下行胸腔镜肺癌根治手术的病人227例,根据术后麻醉恢复期是否并发低氧血症分为低氧血症组、非低氧血症组。通过LASSO回归筛选变量,多因素Logistic回归分析确定独立相关因素;构建列线图模型,Bootstrap法行内部验证,采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线、校准曲线及决策曲线评估模型性能及临床适用性。SHAP模型探讨各独立因素对预警模型的贡献度,基于列线图模型风险评分建立风险分层系统。结果 术后麻醉恢复期并发低氧血症60例。LASSO回归变量筛选获得6个非零系数变量,分别为身体质量指数(BMI)、第1秒用力呼气容积占用力肺活量比值(FEV1/FVC)、单肺通气时间、术中是否使用右美托咪定、术中低体温、气道吸引频次。多因素Logistic回归分析结果 显示,BMI(OR=1.189,95%CI:1.040~1.360)、术中低体温(OR=2.227,95%CI:1.079~4.598)、术后气道吸引频次(OR=5.326,95%CI:2.927~9.690)、术中使用右美托咪定(OR=2.502,95%CI:1.101~5.686)、单肺通气时间(OR=1.035,95%CI:1.009~1.063)为病人术后麻醉恢复期并发低氧血症的危险因素,术前FEV1/FVC(OR=0.860,95%CI:0.803~0.921)为保护因素(P<0.05)。基于以上因素构建列线图模型,ROC曲线显示该模型预测全麻胸腔镜肺癌根治术后麻醉恢复期并发低氧血症的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.897(95%CI:0.854~0.940)。Bootstrap法获得模型内部验证后的C-index指数为0.904。校准曲线显示,理想概率曲线和实际概率曲线吻合度较高。临床决策曲线显示,当阈值概率在0.06~0.88之间时,该列线图预测模型能产生更好的临床效益。SHAP模型分析结果 显示,各独立相关因素对列线图模型影响的重要性排序依次为气道吸引频次、术前FEV1/FVC、单肺通气时间、BMI、术中低体温、术中使用右美托咪定。基于上述相关因素建立的风险预测模型的风险分层为低风险≤134分,高风险>134分,风险概率分别为60.24%、6.94%。结论 全麻胸腔镜肺癌根治术后麻醉恢复期并发低氧血症相关因素包括BMI、术中低体温、术后气道吸引频次、术中使用右美托咪定、单肺通气时间、术前FEV1/FVC,据此构建的列线图模型具有较好的预测效用。

关键词: 胸腔镜肺癌根治术; 麻醉恢复期; 低氧血症; 列线图

Abstract: Objective To explore the related factors for hypoxemia during anesthesia recovery period after thoracoscopic radical resection of lung cancer under general anesthesia and construct a nomogram prediction model.Methods A total of 227 patients who underwent thoracoscopic radical resection of lung cancer under general anesthesia in our hospital from May 2022 to May 2025 were retrospectively enrolled and divided into hypoxemia group and non-hypoxemia group according to whether hypoxemia occurred during postoperative anesthesia recovery period.Variables were screened by LASSO regression, and independent related factors were determined by multivariate Logistic regression analysis.A nomogram model was constructed and Bootstrap method was used for internal validation.Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve were used to evaluate model performance and clinical applicability.SHAP model was used to explore the contribution of each independent influencing factor to the prediction model.A risk stratification system was established based on the risk score of the nomogram model.Results A total of 60 cases of hypoxemia occurred during postoperative anesthesia recovery period.Six non-zero coefficient variables were obtained through LASSO regression variable screening, namely body mass index (BMI), the ratio of forced expiratory volume in one second to forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC), one-lung ventilation time, intraoperative dexmedetomidine use, intraoperative hypothermia, and airway aspiration frequency.The results of the multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that BMI (OR=1.189, 95%CI: 1.040-1.360), intraoperative hypothermia (OR=2.227, 95%CI: 1.079-4.598), postoperative airway suction frequency (OR=5.326, 95%CI: 2.927-9.690), intraoperative use of dexmedetomidine (OR=2.502, 95%CI: 1.101-5.686), and single-lung ventilation time (OR=1.035, 95%CI: 1.009-1.063) were risk factors for postoperative anesthesia recovery period-related hypoxemia in patients, while preoperative FEV1/FVC (OR=0.860, 95%CI: 0.803-0.921) was a protective factor (P<0.05).A nomogram model was constructed based on the above factors.ROC curve showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of this model was 0.897 (95%CI: 0.854-0.940).The C-index after internal validation of the model obtained by Bootstrap method was 0.904.Calibration curve showed high consistency between the ideal probability curve and the actual probability curve.Clinical decision curve showed that when the threshold probability was between 0.06 and 0.88, the nomogram prediction model could produce better clinical benefit.The SHAP results showed that the order of importance of each independent related factor on the ogram model was airway aspiration frequency, preoperative FEV1/FVC, one-lung ventilation time, BMI, intraoperative hypothermia, and the use of dexmedetomidine during the operation.The risk stratification of the risk prediction model established based on the above related influencing factors was low risk ≤134 points and high risk >134 points, with risk probabilities of 60.24% and 6.94%, respectively.Conclusion The related factors of hypoxemia during anesthesia recovery period after thoracoscopic radical resection for lung cancer under general anesthesia include BMI, intraoperative hypothermia, frequency of postoperative airway suctioning, intraoperative use of dexmedetomidine, one-lung ventilation time, and preoperative FEV1/FVC.The nomogram model constructed accordingly demonstrates good predictive utility.

Key words: thoracoscopic radical resection of lung cancer; anesthesia recovery period; hypoxemia; nomogram

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] 胡善彪;余少杰;彭龙开. 婴幼儿供肾移植[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2016, 24(10): 741 .
[2] 江帆;孙权;吴国俊;等. 不同引流方式对恶性梗阻性黄疸患者细胞免疫的影响[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2016, 24(10): 760 .
[3] 肖国栋;刘国辉. 跗骨窦切口联合经皮置钉技术微创治疗跟骨骨折的临床疗效分析[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2016, 24(10): 783 .
[4] 刘琼;江辉. 喉罩在小儿舌系带矫正手术中的应用[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2016, 24(10): 792 .
[5] 万松林;刘韦成;吴云华;等. 胃间质瘤腹腔内破裂出血一例[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2016, 24(10): 807 .
[6] 涂儒鸿;黄昌明. 腹腔镜胃癌根治术淋巴结清扫技巧[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2016, 24(11): 809 .
[7] 吴川清;刘炜圳;帅晓明;等. 超声内镜在胃癌术前诊断中的应用分析[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2016, 24(11): 828 .
[8] 王维君;那光玮;何科基;等. 根治性淋巴结清扫联合脾切除在残胃癌手术中的临床意义探究[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2016, 24(11): 835 .
[9] 杨永辉;李欣欣;郝孟辉;等. 孤立性肺结节的诊治分析[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2016, 24(11): 856 .
[10] 陆林;叶哲伟;安颍;等. Ⅰ期前后路联合手术治疗复杂下颈椎骨折脱位伴关节突绞锁[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2016, 24(11): 875 .