临床外科杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (10): 1097-1101.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-6483.20241862

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

腹腔镜中低位直肠癌手术“困难骨盆”预测模型构建及验证

孟闯 范林冲 蒋笃均 张跃   

  1. 221000 江苏徐州,徐州市肿瘤医院胃肠外科
  • 收稿日期:2024-11-21 出版日期:2025-11-11 发布日期:2025-11-11
  • 通讯作者: 张跃,Email:1033443083@qq.com

Construction and validation of a “difficult pelvis” prediction model for laparoscopic middle and low rectal cancer surgery

MENG Chuang,FAN Linchong,JIANG Dujun,ZHANG Yue   

  1. Department of Gastroenterology,Xuzhou Cancer Hospital,Xuzhou 221000,China
  • Received:2024-11-21 Online:2025-11-11 Published:2025-11-11

摘要: 目的 探讨腹腔镜中低位直肠癌手术“困难骨盆”的危险因素,构建并验证列线图预测模型。方法 2020年5月~2022年5月收治的143例行腹腔镜根治术的中低位直肠癌病人为训练集,2022年6月~2024年6月收治的129例中低位直肠癌病人为验证集。采用多因素Logistic回归分析腹腔镜中低位直肠癌根治手术“困难骨盆”的影响因素,基于这些影响因素构建列线图预测模型,并加以验证。结果 多因素Logistic回归分析显示,年龄、耻骨联合高度、骨盆深度是腹腔镜中低位直肠癌手术病人成为困难骨盆的独立危险因素,而坐骨棘间径、AB线、A角及B角是困难骨盆的独立保护因素,基于以上因素构建得到列线图预测模型,受试者工作特征曲线显示,训练集及验证集的曲线下面积分别为0.870、0.843,验证集的敏感度和特异度分别为81.23%、80.06%,预测性能良好。结论 本研究构建的腹腔镜中低位直肠癌手术“困难骨盆”的预测模型有良好的预测性能。

关键词: 中低位直肠癌, 腹腔镜, 困难骨盆, 预测模型

Abstract: Objective To explore the risk factors of “difficult pelvis” in laparoscopic middle and low rectal cancer surgery,and to construct and validate a nomogram prediction model.Methods 143 patients with middle and low rectal cancer who underwent laparoscopic radical resection in our hospital from May 2020 to May 2022 were selected as the training set,and 129 patients treated from June 2022 to June 2024 were selected as the validation set,analyzed its clinical data,and used multi-factor Logistic regression analysis to explore the factors affecting the “difficult pelvis” in laparoscopic middle and low rectal cancer surgery.Based on these risk factors,a nomogram prediction model was constructed and verified.Results Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age,pubic symphysis height,and pelvic depth were independent risk factors for difficult pelvis in patients undergoing laparoscopic surgery for low-lying colon cancer,while the diameter between ischial spines,AB line,A angle,and B angle were independent protective factors for difficult pelvis.Based on The nomogram prediction model was constructed from the above factors.The receiver operating characteristic curve results showed that the areas under the curve of the training set and validation set were 0.870 and 0.843 respectively,and the sensitivity and specificity of the validation set were respectively 81.23%、80.06%,the prediction performance was good.Conclusion The prediction model for “difficult pelvis” in laparoscopic middle and low rectal cancer surgery constructed in this study has good prediction performance

Key words: middle and low rectal cancer, laparoscopy, difficult pelvis, prediction model

[1] 朱红琼 兰勇 张晶 郭紫成. 达芬奇机器人辅助下不同入路腹腔镜肾部分切除术治疗中央型肾肿瘤对肾功能、肠道功能恢复的影响[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(9): 988-991.
[2] 马连港 陈志雷 陆丹莹 李琳 朱静萱 马华崇 王振军 渠浩. 老年结直肠癌病人腹腔镜手术后延迟性肠麻痹的危险因素分析[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(8): 808-812.
[3] 徐锋 周心奇 高健扬. 腹腔镜直肠癌术后发生排尿功能障碍的危险因素分析及风险预测模型构建[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(8): 813-817.
[4] 王青峰 陆晶晶 鲁生林 汪源 吴永丰 张明府. 甲状腺癌术中甲状旁腺损伤的影响因素分析及预测模型构建[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(8): 832-835.
[5] 邹裕海 刘雨 梁必雄. 术前呼吸道准备与术后引流量对食管癌胸腹腔镜根治术后肺部并发症的影响[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(8): 841-845.
[6] 潘青 牛一聪 陈诚 马大昌 武君. 乳腺癌新辅助化疗后前哨淋巴结转移完全缓解的预测模型构建[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(8): 846-851.
[7] 高鸿智 周博 王文斌. 腹腔镜腹股沟疝修补术中腹膜修补一例[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(8): 894-894.
[8] 刘颜 尹韬远 田锐. 单孔腹腔镜胆囊切除的临床实践:机遇、挑战与质量控制[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(7): 677-.
[9] 李翔 周林秋 李珺 佘晶江 许剑 段建春 李玉文. 腹腔镜直肠癌根治术病人术后胃肠功能影响因素分析[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(7): 730-.
[10] 黄晓科 汤庆峰 赖维奇 朱江 钟远友 胡小波 杨仕伟. 基质GLA蛋白与特发性草酸钙结石影响因素的关联及预测模型构建[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(7): 757-.
[11] 倪虎 吴向南 陶芸生 胡静. 腹腔镜结直肠癌根治术后小剂量氢吗啡酮复合纳布啡自控静脉镇痛的效果及对疼痛介质释放的影响[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(7): 771-.
[12] 李文熙 郑鑫 孙宝信 张海生 朱志达 赵恩宏. 传统腹腔镜手术、经自然腔道取标本手术和经括约肌间切除术治疗低位直肠癌的效果分析[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(6): 632-636.
[13] 陈力 潘登 穆鑫 刘会锋 杨敏 王献良. 腹腔镜Soave术治疗年龄<6个月常见型先天性巨结肠的预后分析[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(5): 478-481.
[14] 李权 朱彦松 顾杰 钱多成 李尧 李杜渐. 腹腔镜下零缺血免缝合铥激光肾部分切除术的临床应用[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(5): 520-522.
[15] 苏纯洁, 孙念. 完全腹腔镜全胃切除术手工荷包缝合法与腹腔镜辅助全胃切除术的疗效比较[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2025, 33(4): 401-404.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!